Mexico vs Costa Rica: result 3-2 and analysis
FriendliesFriendlies 1Kick-off on October 12, 2018 at 01:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
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What was the result of Mexico vs Costa Rica?
Mexico won 3-2 on October 12, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 29′J. CampbellCosta Rica
- 33′V. GuzmánMexico
- 44′Bryan Jafet Ruiz GonzálezCosta Rica (pen.)
- 56′H. MartínMexico
- 71′R. JiménezMexico (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mexico have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Costa Rica have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2018 | USA(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 8, 2018 | Uruguay(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies |
| Jul 2, 2018 | Brazil(away) | 0-2 | World Cup |
| Jun 27, 2018 | Sweden(home) | 0-3 | World Cup |
| Jun 23, 2018 | South Korea(away) | 2-1 | World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2018 | Japan(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies |
| Sep 7, 2018 | South Korea(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Jun 27, 2018 | Switzerland(away) | 2-2 | World Cup |
| Jun 22, 2018 | Brazil(away) | 0-2 | World Cup |
| Jun 17, 2018 | Serbia(home) | 0-1 | World Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Mexico win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Costa Rica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2017 | Costa Rica 1-1 Mexico | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Mar 25, 2017 | Mexico 2-0 Costa Rica | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Jul 19, 2015 | Mexico 1-0 Costa Rica | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Mexico score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Costa Rica score 0.7 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico | 1.0 | 1.3 | 6 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Costa Rica | 0.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy