Mexico vs Dominican Republic: result 3-2 and analysis
CONCACAF Gold CupGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on June 15, 2025 at 02:15 AM (UTC)Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
Full time
What was the result of Mexico vs Dominican Republic?
Mexico won 3-2 on June 15, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 44′E. ÁlvarezMexico
- 47′R. JiménezMexico
- 51′PeterDominican Republic
- 53′C. MontesMexico
- 67′E. AzconaDominican Republic
Official lineup for Mexico vs Dominican Republic
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Mexico
4-4-2- 9R. Jiménez
- 11S. Giménez
- 17O. Pineda
- 4E. Álvarez
- 6É. Lira
- 25R. Alvarado
- 23J. Gallardo
- 3C. Montes
- 15I. Reyes
- 2J. Sánchez
- 1L. Malagón
Dominican Republic
5-4-1- 17D. Romero
- 11E. Reyes
- 14Jean Carlos López Moscoso
- 8H. Mörschel
- 19Peter
- 5N. Dollenmayer
- 4Edgar Pujol
- 6P. Rosario
- 18J. Kaparos
- 2J. Urbáez
- 12X. Valdez
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mexico have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Dominican Republic have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2025 | Türkiye(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 7, 2025 | Switzerland(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies |
| Mar 24, 2025 | Panama(home) | 2-1 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Mar 21, 2025 | Canada(away) | 2-0 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Nov 20, 2024 | Honduras(home) | 4-0 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2025 | Dominica(home) | 5-0 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Jun 7, 2025 | Guatemala(away) | 2-4 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Mar 26, 2025 | Puerto Rico(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Puerto Rico(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| Nov 19, 2024 | Bermuda(home) | 6-1 | CONCACAF Nations League |
How many goals should we expect?
Mexico score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Dominican Republic score 3.0 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico | 1.3 | 1.0 | 9 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
| Dominican Republic | 3.0 | 1.0 | 8 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mexico sit 1st in CONCACAF Gold Cup (7 points from 3 matches) and Dominican Republic sit 3rd (1 point from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Dominican Republic | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
A question about Mexico vs Dominican Republic?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy