Mexico vs Ecuador: result 1-1 and analysis
FriendliesFriendlies 1Kick-off on October 15, 2025 at 02:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
Full time
What was the result of Mexico vs Ecuador?
Mexico and Ecuador drew 1-1 on October 15, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 3′G. BerterameMexico
- 20′J. AlcívarEcuador (pen.)
Official lineup for Mexico vs Ecuador
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Mexico
4-3-3- 9J. Quiñones
- 19G. Berterame
- 22H. Lozano
- 7L. Romo
- 6É. Lira
- 18É. Sánchez
- 20M. Chávez
- 5J. Vásquez
- 3C. Montes
- 15I. Reyes
- 12J. Rangel
Ecuador
4-3-3- 7A. Minda
- 13E. Valencia
- 9J. Yeboah
- 15P. Vite
- 8J. Alcívar
- 21A. Franco
- 24Y. Medina
- 6W. Pacho
- 4J. Ordoñez
- 17A. Preciado
- 1H. Galíndez
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mexico have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Ecuador have 5, 9 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2025 | Colombia(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
| Sep 10, 2025 | South Korea(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Japan(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Jul 6, 2025 | USA(away) | 2-1 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jul 3, 2025 | Honduras(home) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | USA(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 9, 2025 | Argentina(home) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Sep 4, 2025 | Paraguay(away) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Jun 11, 2025 | Peru(away) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Jun 5, 2025 | Brazil(home) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Mexico win, 2 draws, 2 Ecuador wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 2024 | Mexico 0-0 Ecuador | Copa America |
| Jun 5, 2022 | Mexico 0-0 Ecuador | Friendlies |
| Oct 28, 2021 | Mexico 2-3 Ecuador | Friendlies |
| Jun 9, 2019 | Mexico 3-2 Ecuador | Friendlies |
| Jun 19, 2015 | Mexico 1-2 Ecuador | Copa America |
How many goals should we expect?
Mexico score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ecuador score 0.7 and concede 0.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico | 1.5 | 1.1 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Ecuador | 0.7 | 0.3 | 11 | 3/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Mexico vs Ecuador?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy