Mexico vs USA: result 1-0 and analysis
CONCACAF Gold CupFinalKick-off on July 8, 2019 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Soldier Field, Chicago, Illinois
Full time
What was the result of Mexico vs USA?
Mexico won 1-0 on July 8, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 73′J. dos SantosMexico
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mexico have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; USA have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 2019 | Haiti(away) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 30, 2019 | Costa Rica(home) | 1-1 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 24, 2019 | Martinique(away) | 3-2 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 20, 2019 | Canada(home) | 3-1 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 16, 2019 | Cuba(home) | 7-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2019 | Jamaica(away) | 3-1 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jul 1, 2019 | Curaçao(home) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 27, 2019 | Panama(away) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 23, 2019 | Trinidad and Tobago(home) | 6-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 19, 2019 | Guyana(home) | 4-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Mexico win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 USA win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2018 | USA 1-0 Mexico | Friendlies |
| Jun 12, 2017 | Mexico 1-1 USA | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Nov 12, 2016 | USA 1-2 Mexico | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
How many goals should we expect?
Mexico score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; USA score 1.7 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico | 2.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| USA | 1.7 | 1.0 | 7 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mexico sit 1st in CONCACAF Gold Cup (7 points from 3 matches) and USA sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 1 | USA | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy