Match

Middlesbrough U21 vs Brighton U21: prediction and stats

Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on January 24, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Heritage Park, Bishop Auckland, County Durham

Middlesbrough U21Brighton U21

The Footlab model makes Middlesbrough U21 the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Brighton U21. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Middlesbrough U21 vs Brighton U21?

A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Middlesbrough U21 (1,820) and Brighton U21 (1,892).

Middlesbrough U21 win40 %
Draw24 %
Brighton U21 win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Middlesbrough U21 have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Brighton U21 have 10, 2 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Middlesbrough U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Norwich City U21(home)0-1Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026Solihull Moors(away)3-1National League Cup
Aug 11, 2026Hartlepool(away)10-0National League Cup
Apr 25, 2026Chelsea U21(away)0-1Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 10, 2026Aston Villa U21(away)2-0Premier League 2 Division One
Brighton U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Aston Villa U21(away)1-2Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026Northampton(away)3-0EFL Trophy
Aug 14, 2026Millwall U21(home)2-0Premier League Cup
Jul 28, 2026Worthing(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026Manchester United U21(home)1-0Premier League 2 Division One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Middlesbrough U21 win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Brighton U21 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 4, 2025Brighton U21 1-1 Middlesbrough U21Premier League 2 Division One
Sep 27, 2024Middlesbrough U21 0-3 Brighton U21Premier League 2 Division One

Last archived meeting: Brighton U21 vs Middlesbrough U21 on Oct 4, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Middlesbrough U21 score 2.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Brighton U21 score 2.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Middlesbrough U212.51.239/158/15
Brighton U212.21.078/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Middlesbrough U21 sit 31st in Premier League 2 Division One (0 points from 1 matches) and Brighton U21 sit 30th (0 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
30Brighton U211001120
31Middlesbrough U211001010

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Middlesbrough U21 vs Brighton U21?
The Footlab model makes Middlesbrough U21 the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Brighton U21.
Where and when is Middlesbrough U21 vs Brighton U21 played?
Middlesbrough U21 vs Brighton U21 is played on January 24, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Heritage Park, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Middlesbrough U21 and Brighton U21

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