Where and when is Middlesbrough U21 vs Leeds United U21 played?

Middlesbrough U21 vs Leeds United U21 is played on September 13, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Heritage Park, in the Premier League 2 Division One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Middlesbrough U21 vs Leeds United U21: prediction and stats

Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on September 13, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Heritage Park, Bishop Auckland, County Durham

Middlesbrough U21

Leeds United U21

The Footlab model makes Middlesbrough U21 the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Leeds United U21. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Middlesbrough U21 vs Leeds United U21?

A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Middlesbrough U21 (1,820) and Leeds United U21 (1,730).

Middlesbrough U21 win60 %

Draw20 %

Leeds United U21 win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Middlesbrough U21 have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Leeds United U21 have 2, 2 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Middlesbrough U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Norwich City U21(home)	0-1	Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026	Solihull Moors(away)	3-1	National League Cup
Aug 11, 2026	Hartlepool(away)	10-0	National League Cup
Apr 25, 2026	Chelsea U21(away)	0-1	Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 10, 2026	Aston Villa U21(away)	2-0	Premier League 2 Division One

Leeds United U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	West Bromwich Albion U21(home)	4-3	Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026	Boreham Wood(away)	2-5	National League Cup
Aug 14, 2026	Stoke City U21(away)	0-0	Premier League Cup
Apr 13, 2026	Leicester City U21(home)	2-3	Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 3, 2026	Manchester United U21(home)	1-2	Premier League 2 Division One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Middlesbrough U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Leeds United U21 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 4, 2025	Leeds United U21 0-2 Middlesbrough U21	Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 23, 2023	Leeds United U21 3-1 Middlesbrough U21	Premier League 2 Division One
Oct 22, 2022	Middlesbrough U21 2-4 Leeds United U21	Premier League 2 Division One

Last archived meeting: Leeds United U21 vs Middlesbrough U21 on Apr 4, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Middlesbrough U21 score 2.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Leeds United U21 score 1.1 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Middlesbrough U21	2.5	1.2	3	9/15	8/15
Leeds United U21	1.1	2.5	2	9/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Middlesbrough U21 sit 31st in Premier League 2 Division One (0 points from 1 matches) and Leeds United U21 sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Leeds United U21	1	1	0	0	4	3	3
31	Middlesbrough U21	1	0	0	1	0	1	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Middlesbrough U21 vs Leeds United U21?: The Footlab model makes Middlesbrough U21 the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Leeds United U21.
Where and when is Middlesbrough U21 vs Leeds United U21 played?: Middlesbrough U21 vs Leeds United U21 is played on September 13, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Heritage Park, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.