Where and when is Aston Villa U21 vs Middlesbrough U21 played?

Aston Villa U21 vs Middlesbrough U21 is played on September 18, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Bodymoor Heath Training Ground, in the Premier League 2 Division One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Aston Villa U21 vs Middlesbrough U21: prediction and stats

Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on September 18, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Bodymoor Heath Training Ground, Bodymoor Heath, Warwickshire

Aston Villa U21

Middlesbrough U21

The Footlab model makes Middlesbrough U21 the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Aston Villa U21. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Aston Villa U21 vs Middlesbrough U21?

Middlesbrough U21 starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,820 vs 1,719).

Aston Villa U21 win27 %

Draw22 %

Middlesbrough U21 win51 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aston Villa U21 have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Middlesbrough U21 have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Aston Villa U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Brighton U21(home)	2-1	Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026	Wigan(away)	2-3	EFL Trophy
Jul 21, 2026	Tamworth(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 1, 2026	Manchester City U21(home)	2-3	Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 24, 2026	Southampton U21(away)	3-3	Premier League 2 Division One

Middlesbrough U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Norwich City U21(home)	0-1	Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026	Solihull Moors(away)	3-1	National League Cup
Aug 11, 2026	Hartlepool(away)	10-0	National League Cup
Apr 25, 2026	Chelsea U21(away)	0-1	Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 10, 2026	Aston Villa U21(away)	2-0	Premier League 2 Division One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Aston Villa U21 win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Middlesbrough U21 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 10, 2026	Aston Villa U21 0-2 Middlesbrough U21	Premier League 2 Division One
Oct 25, 2024	Middlesbrough U21 4-2 Aston Villa U21	Premier League 2 Division One
Feb 16, 2024	Aston Villa U21 4-0 Middlesbrough U21	Premier League 2 Division One
Mar 6, 2023	Middlesbrough U21 2-3 Aston Villa U21	Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 5, 2022	Aston Villa U21 3-3 Middlesbrough U21	Premier League 2 Division One

Last archived meeting: Aston Villa U21 vs Middlesbrough U21 on Apr 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Aston Villa U21 score 1.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Middlesbrough U21 score 2.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Aston Villa U21	1.9	2.0	2	11/15	11/15
Middlesbrough U21	2.5	1.2	3	9/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Aston Villa U21 sit 4th in Premier League 2 Division One (3 points from 1 matches) and Middlesbrough U21 sit 31st (0 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Aston Villa U21	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
31	Middlesbrough U21	1	0	0	1	0	1	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Aston Villa U21 vs Middlesbrough U21?: The Footlab model makes Middlesbrough U21 the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Aston Villa U21.
Where and when is Aston Villa U21 vs Middlesbrough U21 played?: Aston Villa U21 vs Middlesbrough U21 is played on September 18, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Bodymoor Heath Training Ground, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.