Middlesbrough vs Aldershot Town: result 2-1 and analysis
FA Cup4th RoundKick-off on January 26, 2013 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
Full time
What was the result of Middlesbrough vs Aldershot Town?
Middlesbrough won 2-1 on January 26, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 83′L. JutkiewiczMiddlesbrough
- 89′D. HyltonAldershot Town
- 90′L. JutkiewiczMiddlesbrough
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Middlesbrough have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Aldershot Town have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2013 | Leicester(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Jan 12, 2013 | Watford(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Jan 5, 2013 | Hastings United(home) | 4-1 | FA Cup |
| Jan 1, 2013 | Derby(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Dec 29, 2012 | Blackpool(home) | 4-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2013 | Northampton(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Jan 19, 2013 | York(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Jan 12, 2013 | Accrington ST(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Jan 5, 2013 | Rotherham(home) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Jan 1, 2013 | Barnet(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Middlesbrough score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Aldershot Town score 1.3 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Aldershot Town | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy