Millwall vs Aston Villa: result 2-1 and analysis
FA Cup4th RoundKick-off on January 25, 2013 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Den, London
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What was the result of Millwall vs Aston Villa?
Millwall won 2-1 on January 25, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 23′D. BentAston Villa
- 28′D. ShittuMillwall
- 89′J. MarquisMillwall
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Millwall have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Aston Villa have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2013 | Burnley(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Jan 12, 2013 | Bolton(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Jan 5, 2013 | Preston(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Jan 1, 2013 | Bristol City(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Dec 29, 2012 | Cardiff(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2013 | Bradford(home) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Jan 19, 2013 | West Brom(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Jan 12, 2013 | Southampton(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jan 8, 2013 | Bradford(away) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Jan 5, 2013 | Ipswich(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Millwall score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Aston Villa score 1.2 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall | 0.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Aston Villa | 1.2 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy