Middlesbrough vs Derby: result 2-0 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 22, 2011 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
Full time
What was the result of Middlesbrough vs Derby?
Middlesbrough won 2-0 on October 22, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 45′R. WilliamsMiddlesbrough
- 52′M. EmnesMiddlesbrough
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Middlesbrough have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Derby have 6, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2011 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Oct 15, 2011 | Millwall(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 1, 2011 | Reading(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 28, 2011 | Leicester(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 24, 2011 | Ipswich(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2011 | Reading(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Oct 15, 2011 | Southampton(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 1, 2011 | Leicester(away) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Sep 27, 2011 | Barnsley(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 24, 2011 | Millwall(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Middlesbrough score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough | 1.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Derby | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/13 | 8/13 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Middlesbrough sit 11th in Championship (3 points from 2 matches) and Derby sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Middlesbrough | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy