Middlesbrough vs Sheffield Utd: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 39Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
The Footlab AI model makes Middlesbrough the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Sheffield Utd. The most likely score is 1-1. If Middlesbrough wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Middlesbrough vs Sheffield Utd?
On Elo ratings, Middlesbrough has 2,009 points and Sheffield Utd 1,953.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Middlesbrough vs Sheffield Utd
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Middlesbrough
3-4-2-1- 7W. Lankshear
- 2C. Brittain
- 10A. Morris
- 11A. Cozier-Duberry
- 30Neto Borges
- 6S. Berhalter
- 8R. McGree
- 29A. Malanda
- 4A. Phillips
- 12L. Ayling
- 1R. Vítek
Sheffield Utd
4-2-2-2- 45P. Bamford
- 9T. Cannon
- 42Sydie Peck
- 22B. Brereton
- 7J. Rothwell
- 19T. Chong
- 5J. Tanganga
- 8H. Choudhury
- 15L. Kitching
- 3S. McCallum
- 1M. Cooper
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Middlesbrough have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Sheffield Utd have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Stoke City(away) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Wolves(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Birmingham(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Norwich(home) | 4-3 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lincoln(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Stoke City(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Wolves(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Blackburn(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Middlesbrough wins, 1 draw, 1 Sheffield Utd win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2026 | Sheffield Utd 1-2 Middlesbrough | Championship |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Middlesbrough 1-0 Sheffield Utd | Championship |
| Feb 12, 2025 | Sheffield Utd 3-1 Middlesbrough | Championship |
| Oct 23, 2024 | Middlesbrough 1-0 Sheffield Utd | Championship |
| Feb 15, 2023 | Sheffield Utd 1-3 Middlesbrough | Championship |
| Aug 14, 2022 | Middlesbrough 2-2 Sheffield Utd | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Sheffield Utd vs Middlesbrough on Feb 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Middlesbrough score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sheffield Utd score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Sheffield Utd | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Middlesbrough sit 2nd in Championship (21 points from 10 matches) and Sheffield Utd sit 15th (12 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 14 | 21 |
| 15 | Sheffield Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 12 |
A question about Middlesbrough vs Sheffield Utd?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Middlesbrough vs Sheffield Utd?
- The Footlab AI model makes Middlesbrough the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Sheffield Utd.
- Where and when is Middlesbrough vs Sheffield Utd played?
- Middlesbrough vs Sheffield Utd is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Riverside Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.