Southampton vs Charlton: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 39Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton, Hampshire
The Footlab AI model makes Southampton the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Charlton. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,902 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Southampton vs Charlton?
Southampton starts as the favourite with a 223-point Elo edge (2,092 vs 1,869).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Southampton vs Charlton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Southampton
4-2-3-1- 9C. Larin
- 10F. Azaz
- 30J. Ward-Prowse
- 7Léo Scienza
- 4F. Downes
- 26Cameron Bragg
- 13K. Schlotterbeck
- 5J. Stephens
- 14J. Bree
- 3R. Manning
- 1Daniel Peretz
Charlton
4-2-3-1- 11M. Leaburn
- 9K. Ahearne-Grant
- 7T. Campbell
- 6C. Coventry
- 34O. Skipp
- 33Micah Mbick
- 5L. Jones
- 20D. McNamara
- 12Billy Dawson Koumetio
- 2K. Ramsay
- 13A. Okonkwo
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 03:02 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Southampton have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Charlton have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bolton(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Portsmouth(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Wrexham(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Watford(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Burnley(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cardiff(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Portsmouth(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Southampton win, 1 draw, 0 Charlton wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Southampton 1-1 Charlton | Championship |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Charlton 1-5 Southampton | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Southampton vs Charlton on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Southampton score 1.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Charlton score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 1.8 | 1.0 | 5 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Charlton | 1.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Southampton sit 8th in Championship (17 points from 11 matches) and Charlton sit 17th (14 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Southampton | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 17 |
| 17 | Charlton | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 14 |
A question about Southampton vs Charlton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Southampton vs Charlton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Southampton the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Charlton.
- Where and when is Southampton vs Charlton played?
- Southampton vs Charlton is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at St. Mary's Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.