Middlesbrough vs Swansea: result 1-0 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 9, 2025 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
Full time
What was the result of Middlesbrough vs Swansea?
Middlesbrough won 1-0 on August 9, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 51′D. FryMiddlesbrough
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Middlesbrough have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Swansea have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2025 | Deportivo La Coruna(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Rangers(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 23, 2025 | Bradford(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2025 | Coventry(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Norwich(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2025 | Lorient(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Exeter City(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 23, 2025 | Cheltenham(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Stevenage(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2025 | Oxford United(home) | 3-3 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Middlesbrough win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Swansea win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | Swansea 1-0 Middlesbrough | Championship |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Middlesbrough 1-0 Swansea | Championship |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Middlesbrough 2-0 Swansea | Championship |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Swansea 1-2 Middlesbrough | Championship |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Swansea 1-3 Middlesbrough | Championship |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Middlesbrough 2-1 Swansea | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Swansea vs Middlesbrough on Mar 8, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Middlesbrough score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Swansea score 1.2 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Swansea | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Middlesbrough sit 11th in Championship (3 points from 2 matches) and Swansea sit 9th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Swansea | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Middlesbrough | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy