Mika vs Araks Ararat: prediction and stats
CupRound of 16Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Mika, Yerevan
The Footlab AI model makes Araks Ararat the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Mika. The most likely score is 1-1. If Araks Ararat wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,805 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mika vs Araks Ararat?
Araks Ararat starts as the favourite with a 171-point Elo edge (1,386 vs 1,216).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mika vs Araks Ararat
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mika
4-3-3- AAlen Ghaltakhchyan
- HH. Aleksanyan
- AA. Karapetyan
- EE. Manukyan
- AA. Hambaryan
- AA. Mekkaoui
- NN. Umeh
- JJ. Onuoha
- VV. Sahakyan
- EE. Karapetyan
- SS. Derdzakyan
Araks Ararat
Not enough data to predict the Araks Ararat lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 02:48 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mika have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Araks Ararat have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Andranik(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Sardarapat 2(home) | 3-2 | First League |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Bentonit Ijevan(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Banants II(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia II(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia II(home) | 3-1 | First League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Lernayin Artsakh(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Sep 21, 2026 | BKMA II(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Pyunik II(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Noah II(home) | 1-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Mika wins, 1 draw, 1 Araks Ararat win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | Araks Ararat 3-1 Mika | First League |
| Oct 16, 2025 | Mika 1-1 Araks Ararat | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
Mika score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Araks Ararat score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mika | 1.7 | 2.1 | 0 | 14/15 | 12/15 |
| Araks Ararat | 1.9 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Mika vs Araks Ararat?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mika vs Araks Ararat?
- The Footlab AI model makes Araks Ararat the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Mika.
- Where and when is Mika vs Araks Ararat played?
- Mika vs Araks Ararat is played on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Mika, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.