Milford FC vs Durban City: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Princess Magogo Stadium, Durban
The Footlab model makes Milford FC the favourite at 42%, against 32% for a draw and 26% for Durban City. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Milford FC vs Durban City?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Milford FC (1,744) and Durban City (1,734).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Milford FC have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Durban City have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kruger United(home) | 2-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Siwelele(home) | 1-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Orlando Pirates(away) | 0-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Magesi(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Cape Town City(home) | 0-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Richards Bay(home) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Golden Arrows(home) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Orlando Pirates(away) | 1-2 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(away) | 0-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 23, 2026 | Amazulu(home) | 0-1 | Premier Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Milford FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Durban City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2025 | Durban City 1-2 Milford FC | 1st Division |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Milford FC 1-2 Durban City | 1st Division |
Last archived meeting: Durban City vs Milford FC on May 7, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Milford FC score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Durban City score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milford FC | 1.1 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Durban City | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Milford FC sit 6th in Premier Soccer League (6 points from 3 matches) and Durban City sit 12th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Milford FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 12 | Durban City | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Milford FC vs Durban City?
- The Footlab model makes Milford FC the favourite at 42%, against 32% for a draw and 26% for Durban City.
- Where and when is Milford FC vs Durban City played?
- Milford FC vs Durban City is played on September 19, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Princess Magogo Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.