Golden Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sugar Ray Xulu Stadium, Durban
The Footlab model makes Kaizer Chiefs the favourite at 35%, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Golden Arrows. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Golden Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Golden Arrows (1,785) and Kaizer Chiefs (1,842).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Golden Arrows have 6 wins, 8 draws and 1 defeats; Kaizer Chiefs have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(away) | 1-0 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | TS Galaxy(away) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Durban City(away) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs(away) | 1-0 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chippa United(home) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(home) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(home) | 2-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Golden Arrows(home) | 0-1 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kruger United(away) | 3-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Elche(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Golden Arrows win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Kaizer Chiefs win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs 0-1 Golden Arrows | 8 Cup |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs 1-0 Golden Arrows | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Golden Arrows 0-1 Kaizer Chiefs | Premier Soccer League |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Golden Arrows 2-1 Kaizer Chiefs | Premier Soccer League |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Kaizer Chiefs 0-1 Golden Arrows | Premier Soccer League |
| Mar 5, 2024 | Kaizer Chiefs 1-0 Golden Arrows | Premier Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Kaizer Chiefs vs Golden Arrows on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Golden Arrows score 0.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kaizer Chiefs score 1.4 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden Arrows | 0.7 | 0.5 | 11 | 3/15 | 2/15 |
| Kaizer Chiefs | 1.4 | 0.8 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Golden Arrows sit 9th in Premier Soccer League (3 points from 3 matches) and Kaizer Chiefs sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kaizer Chiefs | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Golden Arrows | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Golden Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs?
- The Footlab model makes Kaizer Chiefs the favourite at 35%, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Golden Arrows.
- Where and when is Golden Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs played?
- Golden Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs is played on September 19, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sugar Ray Xulu Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.