Marumo Gallants vs Orlando Pirates: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Thohoyandou Stadium, Thohoyandou
The Footlab model makes Orlando Pirates the favourite at 72%, against 20% for a draw and 8% for Marumo Gallants. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marumo Gallants vs Orlando Pirates?
Orlando Pirates is a heavy favourite: 2,026 Elo points against 1,659, a 367-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marumo Gallants have 1 wins, 8 draws and 6 defeats; Orlando Pirates have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | TS Galaxy(home) | 2-3 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(away) | 0-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Stellenbosch(away) | 1-3 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kruger United(home) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 23, 2026 | Stellenbosch(home) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(home) | 2-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(away) | 1-0 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Chippa United(away) | 3-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Amazulu(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Durban City(home) | 2-1 | 8 Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Marumo Gallants win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Orlando Pirates win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Orlando Pirates 3-0 Marumo Gallants | Premier Soccer League |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Orlando Pirates 1-0 Marumo Gallants | League Cup |
| Aug 12, 2025 | Marumo Gallants 2-1 Orlando Pirates | Premier Soccer League |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Orlando Pirates 1-0 Marumo Gallants | Cup |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Marumo Gallants 2-0 Orlando Pirates | Premier Soccer League |
| Dec 24, 2024 | Orlando Pirates 8-1 Marumo Gallants | Premier Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Orlando Pirates vs Marumo Gallants on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Marumo Gallants score 0.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Orlando Pirates score 1.6 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marumo Gallants | 0.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Orlando Pirates | 1.6 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marumo Gallants sit 15th in Premier Soccer League (1 points from 4 matches) and Orlando Pirates sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orlando Pirates | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 10 |
| 15 | Marumo Gallants | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marumo Gallants vs Orlando Pirates?
- The Footlab model makes Orlando Pirates the favourite at 72%, against 20% for a draw and 8% for Marumo Gallants.
- Where and when is Marumo Gallants vs Orlando Pirates played?
- Marumo Gallants vs Orlando Pirates is played on September 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Thohoyandou Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.