Millesimo vs Sestri Levante: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone AGroup A - 33Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Millesimo the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Sestri Levante. The most likely score is 1-1. If Millesimo wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Millesimo vs Sestri Levante?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Millesimo (1,621) and Sestri Levante (1,652).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Millesimo vs Sestri Levante
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Millesimo
Not enough data to predict the Millesimo lineup.
Sestri Levante
Not enough data to predict the Sestri Levante lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 12:49 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Millesimo have 4 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Sestri Levante have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Borgosesia(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Sanremese(away) | 2-5 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Asti(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lascaris(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Derthona(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Celle Varazze(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Pistoiese(home) | 1-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Borgosesia(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Biellese(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lascaris(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Millesimo score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 8; Sestri Levante score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millesimo | 1.6 | 1.4 | 2 | 3/8 | 4/8 |
| Sestri Levante | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Millesimo sit 8th in Serie D - Girone A (9 points from 6 matches) and Sestri Levante sit 14th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Millesimo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
| 14 | Sestri Levante | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
A question about Millesimo vs Sestri Levante?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Millesimo vs Sestri Levante?
- The Footlab AI model makes Millesimo the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Sestri Levante.
- Where and when is Millesimo vs Sestri Levante played?
- Millesimo vs Sestri Levante is played on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.