Alessandria vs Gozzano: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone AGroup A - 33Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta, Alessandria
The Footlab model makes Gozzano the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Alessandria. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alessandria vs Gozzano?
Gozzano starts as the favourite with a 163-point Elo edge (1,726 vs 1,563).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alessandria have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Gozzano have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2024 | Vicenza Virtus(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Legnago Salus(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Pro Patria(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Fiorenzuola(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Mar 30, 2024 | PRO Vercelli(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Pro Patria(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Derthona(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| May 3, 2026 | Cairese(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Biellese(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Chisola(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Alessandria win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Gozzano win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2020 | Gozzano 0-1 Alessandria | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 25, 2019 | Alessandria 2-2 Gozzano | Serie C - Girone A |
| Feb 23, 2019 | Gozzano 1-1 Alessandria | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 28, 2018 | Alessandria 1-1 Gozzano | Serie C - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Gozzano vs Alessandria on Jan 22, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Alessandria score 0.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gozzano score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alessandria | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Gozzano | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Gozzano | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 42 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alessandria vs Gozzano?
- The Footlab model makes Gozzano the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Alessandria.
- Where and when is Alessandria vs Gozzano played?
- Alessandria vs Gozzano is played on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta, in the Serie D - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.