Millwall U21 vs Brighton U21: prediction and stats
Premier League CupGroup StageKick-off on November 10, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Millwall FC Training Ground, Bromley, London
The Footlab model makes Brighton U21 the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Millwall U21. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Millwall U21 vs Brighton U21?
Brighton U21 starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,888 vs 1,757).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Millwall U21 have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Brighton U21 have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Huddersfield Town U21(home) | 2-4 | Professional Development League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Brighton U21(away) | 0-2 | Premier League Cup |
| Jul 14, 2026 | AFC Hornchurch(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Coventry City U21(away) | 4-1 | Professional Development League |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday U21(home) | 1-1 | Professional Development League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Aston Villa U21(away) | 1-2 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Northampton(away) | 3-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Millwall U21(home) | 2-0 | Premier League Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Worthing(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Manchester United U21(home) | 1-0 | Premier League 2 Division One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Millwall U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Brighton U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Brighton U21 2-0 Millwall U21 | Premier League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Brighton U21 vs Millwall U21 on Aug 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Millwall U21 score 1.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Brighton U21 score 2.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall U21 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Brighton U21 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 7 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Millwall U21 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Millwall U21 vs Brighton U21?
- The Footlab model makes Brighton U21 the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Millwall U21.
- Where and when is Millwall U21 vs Brighton U21 played?
- Millwall U21 vs Brighton U21 is played on November 10, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Millwall FC Training Ground, in the Premier League Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 11, 2026Bristol City U214-0Reading U21
- Aug 14, 2026Leicester City U213-1Plymouth U21
- Aug 14, 2026Derby County U211-4Hull City U21
- Aug 14, 2026Wolves U212-0Burnley U21
- Aug 14, 2026Stoke City U210-0Leeds United U21
- Aug 14, 2026Swansea City U213-0Birmingham City U21
- Aug 14, 2026Southampton U214-0Blackburn Rovers U21
- Aug 14, 2026Brighton U212-0Millwall U21