Millwall vs Aston Villa: result 2-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 6, 2018 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Den, London
Full time
What was the result of Millwall vs Aston Villa?
Millwall won 2-1 on October 6, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 7′T. AbrahamAston Villa
- 26′S. FergusonMillwall
- 48′Thomas Joshua ElliottMillwall
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Millwall have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Aston Villa have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2018 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 29, 2018 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2018 | Fulham(home) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 22, 2018 | West Brom(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2018 | QPR(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2018 | Preston(home) | 3-3 | Championship |
| Sep 28, 2018 | Bristol City(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 22, 2018 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 18, 2018 | Rotherham(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2018 | Blackburn(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Millwall win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Aston Villa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2018 | Millwall 1-0 Aston Villa | Championship |
| Dec 9, 2017 | Aston Villa 0-0 Millwall | Championship |
| Jan 25, 2013 | Millwall 2-1 Aston Villa | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Millwall vs Aston Villa on May 6, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
Millwall score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Aston Villa score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Aston Villa | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millwall | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy