Millwall vs Bristol City: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 36Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Den, London
The Footlab AI model makes Millwall the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Bristol City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Millwall wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Millwall vs Bristol City?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Millwall (1,959) and Bristol City (1,891).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Millwall vs Bristol City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Millwall
4-2-3-1- 13L. Dykes
- 14Jenson Metcalfe
- 10C. Neghli
- 49D. Mazou-Sacko
- 22K. Lisbie
- 17M. Sykes
- 5J. Cooper
- 6C. Taylor
- 3Zak Norton Sturge
- 2J. Osei-Tutu
- 34F. Marschall
Bristol City
4-2-3-1- 23D. Ballard
- 12J. Knight
- 10S. Twine
- 7Y. Hirakawa
- 17J. Wallace
- 20S. Greenwood
- 19G. Tanner
- 5R. Atkinson
- 2L. Eissat
- 3C. Pring
- 1S. Tickle
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:28 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Millwall have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Bristol City have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Swansea(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Preston(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | West Ham(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Middlesbrough(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Blackburn(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Blackburn(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Charlton(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Crystal Palace(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Watford(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Lincoln(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Millwall wins, 0 draws, 2 Bristol City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bristol City 0-2 Millwall | Championship |
| Dec 29, 2025 | Millwall 2-1 Bristol City | Championship |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Bristol City 0-1 Millwall | Championship |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Millwall 0-2 Bristol City | Championship |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Bristol City 4-3 Millwall | Championship |
| Jan 1, 2024 | Bristol City 0-1 Millwall | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Bristol City vs Millwall on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Millwall score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bristol City score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Bristol City | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Millwall sit 11th in Championship (14 points from 10 matches) and Bristol City sit 12th (14 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Millwall | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 14 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 14 |
A question about Millwall vs Bristol City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Millwall vs Bristol City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Millwall the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Bristol City.
- Where and when is Millwall vs Bristol City played?
- Millwall vs Bristol City is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Den, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.