Bristol City vs West Brom: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 37Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol
The Footlab model makes West Brom the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Bristol City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bristol City vs West Brom?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Bristol City (1,838) and West Brom (1,904).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bristol City have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; West Brom have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Birmingham(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Walsall(home) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Exeter City(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Plymouth(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Burnley(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 4-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Peterborough(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bristol City win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 West Brom win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Bristol City 0-1 West Brom | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2025 | West Brom 1-2 Bristol City | Championship |
| Apr 8, 2025 | Bristol City 2-1 West Brom | Championship |
| Dec 22, 2024 | West Brom 2-0 Bristol City | Championship |
| Mar 16, 2024 | West Brom 2-0 Bristol City | Championship |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Bristol City 0-0 West Brom | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Bristol City vs West Brom on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bristol City score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; West Brom score 2.1 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol City | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| West Brom | 2.1 | 0.6 | 8 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bristol City sit 19th in Championship (1 points from 2 matches) and West Brom sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | West Brom | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 19 | Bristol City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bristol City vs West Brom?
- The Footlab model makes West Brom the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Bristol City.
- Where and when is Bristol City vs West Brom played?
- Bristol City vs West Brom is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ashton Gate Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.