Millwall vs Burnley: result 0-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 1, 2011 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Den, London
Full time
What was the result of Millwall vs Burnley?
Burnley won 0-1 on October 1, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 37′J. RodríguezBurnley
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Millwall have 3 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Burnley have 5, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2011 | Watford(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 24, 2011 | Derby(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Sep 20, 2011 | Wolves(away) | 0-5 | League Cup |
| Sep 17, 2011 | West Ham(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 11, 2011 | Birmingham(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2011 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 5-1 | Championship |
| Sep 24, 2011 | Southampton(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 20, 2011 | Milton Keynes Dons(home) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 17, 2011 | Peterborough(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 10, 2011 | Middlesbrough(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Millwall score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 12; Burnley score 2.1 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall | 0.8 | 1.5 | 5 | 3/12 | 6/12 |
| Burnley | 2.1 | 1.6 | 0 | 9/11 | 7/11 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Millwall sit 1st in Championship (6 points from 2 matches) and Burnley sit 18th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millwall | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 18 | Burnley | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy