Southampton vs Watford: result 4-0 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 1, 2011 at 02:00 PM (UTC)St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton, Hampshire
Full time
What was the result of Southampton vs Watford?
Southampton won 4-0 on October 1, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 22′Rickie LambertSouthampton (pen.)
- 55′Rickie LambertSouthampton (pen.)
- 69′GulySouthampton
- 88′L. HolmesSouthampton
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Southampton have 9 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Watford have 2, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2011 | Cardiff(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 24, 2011 | Burnley(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 21, 2011 | Preston(home) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 18, 2011 | Birmingham(home) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Sep 10, 2011 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2011 | Millwall(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 24, 2011 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 17, 2011 | Barnsley(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 10, 2011 | Reading(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Aug 28, 2011 | Birmingham(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Southampton score 2.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 12; Watford score 1.1 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 2.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/12 | 9/12 |
| Watford | 1.1 | 1.4 | 2 | 5/10 | 5/10 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Southampton sit 24th in Championship (-1 points from 2 matches) and Watford sit 7th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Watford | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 24 | Southampton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy