Millwall vs Derby: result 1-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 19, 2024 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Den, London
Full time
What was the result of Millwall vs Derby?
Millwall and Derby drew 1-1 on October 19, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 78′J. YatesDerby
- 85′M. IvanovićMillwall
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Millwall have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Derby have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2024 | West Brom(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Oct 1, 2024 | Cardiff(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Preston(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Sep 21, 2024 | QPR(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Luton(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2024 | QPR(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Oct 1, 2024 | Sunderland(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Norwich(home) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Sheffield Utd(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Cardiff(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Millwall win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2022 | Derby 1-2 Millwall | Championship |
| Nov 6, 2021 | Millwall 1-1 Derby | Championship |
| Mar 13, 2021 | Derby 0-1 Millwall | Championship |
| Dec 5, 2020 | Millwall 0-1 Derby | Championship |
| Jun 20, 2020 | Millwall 2-3 Derby | Championship |
| Dec 14, 2019 | Derby 0-1 Millwall | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Millwall score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.3 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Derby | 1.3 | 1.6 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Millwall sit 1st in Championship (6 points from 2 matches) and Derby sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millwall | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy