Millwall vs Derby: result 1-0 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 37Kick-off on March 10, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Den, London
Full time
What was the result of Millwall vs Derby?
Millwall won 1-0 on March 10, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 43′J. CoburnMillwall
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Millwall have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Derby have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Hull City(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Preston(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Feb 25, 2026 | Birmingham(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Portsmouth(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Blackburn(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Hull City(away) | 2-4 | Championship |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Watford(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Swansea(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Millwall win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2025 | Derby 1-1 Millwall | Championship |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Derby 0-1 Millwall | Championship |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Millwall 1-1 Derby | Championship |
| Feb 23, 2022 | Derby 1-2 Millwall | Championship |
| Nov 6, 2021 | Millwall 1-1 Derby | Championship |
| Mar 13, 2021 | Derby 0-1 Millwall | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Millwall score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.6 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall | 1.7 | 1.0 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Derby | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Millwall sit 2nd in Championship (3 points from 1 matches) and Derby sit 17th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Millwall | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 17 | Derby | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy