Millwall vs Derby: result 2-3 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 38Kick-off on June 20, 2020 at 12:00 PM (UTC)The Den, London
Full time
What was the result of Millwall vs Derby?
Derby won 2-3 on June 20, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 15′M. SmithMillwall
- 26′L. SibleyDerby
- 71′L. SibleyDerby
- 90′L. SibleyDerby
- 90′J. BöðvarssonMillwall
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Millwall have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Derby have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2020 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Feb 29, 2020 | Bristol City(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Feb 26, 2020 | Birmingham(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Feb 22, 2020 | Wigan(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Feb 15, 2020 | Preston(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2020 | Blackburn(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Mar 5, 2020 | Manchester United(home) | 0-3 | FA Cup |
| Feb 29, 2020 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Feb 25, 2020 | QPR(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Feb 21, 2020 | Fulham(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Millwall win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2019 | Derby 0-1 Millwall | Championship |
| Feb 20, 2019 | Derby 0-1 Millwall | Championship |
| Aug 18, 2018 | Millwall 2-1 Derby | Championship |
| Jan 30, 2018 | Millwall 0-0 Derby | Championship |
| Dec 23, 2017 | Derby 3-0 Millwall | Championship |
| Apr 25, 2015 | Millwall 3-3 Derby | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Millwall score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall | 1.1 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Derby | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Millwall sit 1st in Championship (6 points from 2 matches) and Derby sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millwall | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy