Millwall vs Derby: result 3-3 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 45Kick-off on April 25, 2015 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Den, London
Full time
What was the result of Millwall vs Derby?
Millwall and Derby drew 3-3 on April 25, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 26′L. GregoryMillwall
- 36′L. GregoryMillwall (pen.)
- 42′T. InceDerby
- 50′L. GregoryMillwall (pen.)
- 70′C. MartinDerby (pen.)
- 85′J. HendrickDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Millwall have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Derby have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2015 | Blackburn(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Apr 18, 2015 | Cardiff(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Apr 14, 2015 | Wigan(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Apr 11, 2015 | Watford(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Apr 3, 2015 | Charlton(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2015 | Huddersfield(away) | 4-4 | Championship |
| Apr 14, 2015 | Blackpool(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Apr 11, 2015 | Brentford(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Apr 6, 2015 | Wigan(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Apr 3, 2015 | Watford(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Millwall win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2014 | Derby 0-0 Millwall | Championship |
| Mar 8, 2014 | Derby 0-1 Millwall | Championship |
| Sep 14, 2013 | Millwall 1-5 Derby | Championship |
| May 4, 2013 | Derby 1-0 Millwall | Championship |
| Nov 10, 2012 | Millwall 2-1 Derby | Championship |
| Feb 11, 2012 | Millwall 0-0 Derby | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Millwall score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.7 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall | 0.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Derby | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Millwall sit 1st in Championship (6 points from 2 matches) and Derby sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millwall | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy