Millwall vs Derby: result 2-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 10, 2012 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Den, London
Full time
What was the result of Millwall vs Derby?
Millwall won 2-1 on November 10, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 33′L. FeeneyMillwall
- 53′W. HughesDerby
- 76′Andy Declan KeoghMillwall
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Millwall have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Derby have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2012 | Watford(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Nov 3, 2012 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Oct 27, 2012 | Huddersfield(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Oct 23, 2012 | Birmingham(home) | 3-3 | Championship |
| Oct 20, 2012 | Crystal Palace(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2012 | Barnsley(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Nov 3, 2012 | Blackpool(home) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Oct 27, 2012 | Peterborough(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Oct 23, 2012 | Ipswich(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Oct 20, 2012 | Blackburn(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Millwall win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2012 | Millwall 0-0 Derby | Championship |
| Sep 24, 2011 | Derby 3-0 Millwall | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Millwall score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.6 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Derby | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Millwall sit 1st in Championship (6 points from 2 matches) and Derby sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millwall | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy