Millwall vs Derby: result 2-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 18, 2018 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Den, London
Full time
What was the result of Millwall vs Derby?
Millwall won 2-1 on August 18, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 7′L. GregoryMillwall
- 20′S. WilliamsMillwall
- 73′D. NugentDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Millwall have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Derby have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2018 | Gillingham(home) | 0-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 11, 2018 | Blackburn(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Aug 4, 2018 | Middlesbrough(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| May 6, 2018 | Aston Villa(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Apr 28, 2018 | Middlesbrough(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2018 | Oldham(away) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 11, 2018 | Leeds(home) | 1-4 | Championship |
| Aug 3, 2018 | Reading(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| May 14, 2018 | Fulham(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| May 11, 2018 | Fulham(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Millwall win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2018 | Millwall 0-0 Derby | Championship |
| Dec 23, 2017 | Derby 3-0 Millwall | Championship |
| Apr 25, 2015 | Millwall 3-3 Derby | Championship |
| Oct 4, 2014 | Derby 0-0 Millwall | Championship |
| Mar 8, 2014 | Derby 0-1 Millwall | Championship |
| Sep 14, 2013 | Millwall 1-5 Derby | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Millwall score 1.2 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.4 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall | 1.2 | 0.8 | 8 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Derby | 1.4 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Millwall sit 1st in Championship (6 points from 2 matches) and Derby sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millwall | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy