Millwall vs Watford: result 1-0 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 22, 2025 at 07:00 PM (UTC)The Den, London
Full time
What was the result of Millwall vs Watford?
Millwall won 1-0 on September 22, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 10′C. NeghliMillwall
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Millwall have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Watford have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2025 | Crystal Palace(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Charlton(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Wrexham(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Aug 26, 2025 | Coventry(home) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Sheffield Utd(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2025 | Blackburn(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Southampton(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Swansea(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Aug 16, 2025 | QPR(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 12, 2025 | Norwich(home) | 1-2 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Millwall win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Watford win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | Watford 1-2 Millwall | Championship |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Millwall 2-3 Watford | Championship |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Millwall 1-0 Watford | Championship |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Watford 2-2 Millwall | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2022 | Watford 0-2 Millwall | Championship |
| Oct 19, 2022 | Millwall 3-0 Watford | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Millwall score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Watford score 1.0 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Watford | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Millwall sit 1st in Championship (6 points from 2 matches) and Watford sit 6th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millwall | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Watford | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy