Millwall vs Watford: result 1-0 and analysis
FA Cup4th RoundKick-off on January 29, 2017 at 12:00 PM (UTC)The Den, London
Full time
What was the result of Millwall vs Watford?
Millwall won 1-0 on January 29, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 85′Steve MorisonMillwall
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Millwall have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Watford have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2017 | Bradford(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Jan 14, 2017 | Charlton(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Jan 7, 2017 | Bournemouth(home) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
| Jan 2, 2017 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Dec 30, 2016 | Gillingham(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2017 | Bournemouth(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Jan 14, 2017 | Middlesbrough(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jan 7, 2017 | Burton Albion(home) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Jan 3, 2017 | Stoke City(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Jan 1, 2017 | Tottenham(home) | 1-4 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Millwall win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Watford win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2015 | Millwall 0-2 Watford | Championship |
| Nov 1, 2014 | Watford 3-1 Millwall | Championship |
| Apr 12, 2014 | Millwall 2-2 Watford | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2013 | Watford 4-0 Millwall | Championship |
| Apr 16, 2013 | Millwall 1-0 Watford | Championship |
| Nov 6, 2012 | Watford 0-0 Millwall | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Millwall score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Watford score 0.9 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall | 1.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Watford | 0.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy