Milton Keynes Dons vs Mansfield Town: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 36Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadium mk, Milton Keynes, Buckinghamshire
The Footlab AI model makes Milton Keynes Dons the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Mansfield Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Milton Keynes Dons wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,626 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Milton Keynes Dons vs Mansfield Town?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Milton Keynes Dons (1,826) and Mansfield Town (1,808).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Milton Keynes Dons vs Mansfield Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Milton Keynes Dons
3-1-4-2- 10A. Collins
- 9S. Nombe
- 24R. Wintle
- 17S. Silvera
- 8A. Gilbey
- 20Elijah Xavier Campbell
- 7D. Crowley
- 5C. Goode
- 21M. Ekpiteta
- 32J. Sanders
- 23W. Dennis
Mansfield Town
3-1-4-2- 14M. Smith
- 18R. Oates
- 25L. Reed
- 22N. Moriah-Welsh
- 13J. Russell
- 4E. Hewitt
- 3S. McLaughlin
- 5R. Sweeney
- 23A. Oshilaja
- 9J. Bowery
- 1L. Roberts
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 06:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Milton Keynes Dons have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Mansfield Town have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 6-1 | League One |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Bromley(home) | 4-1 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Stevenage(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Blackpool(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Luton(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Wigan(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Notts County(home) | 0-2 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Blackpool(away) | 4-1 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 3-0 | League One |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 1-1 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Milton Keynes Dons wins, 1 draw, 1 Mansfield Town win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | Milton Keynes Dons 1-4 Mansfield Town | League Two |
| Mar 5, 2024 | Mansfield Town 1-2 Milton Keynes Dons | League Two |
| May 4, 2019 | Milton Keynes Dons 1-0 Mansfield Town | League Two |
| Oct 27, 2018 | Mansfield Town 1-1 Milton Keynes Dons | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Milton Keynes Dons vs Mansfield Town on Apr 13, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Milton Keynes Dons score 2.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mansfield Town score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milton Keynes Dons | 2.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Mansfield Town | 1.4 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Milton Keynes Dons sit 12th in League One (18 points from 13 matches) and Mansfield Town sit 11th (19 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mansfield Town | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 19 |
| 12 | Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 20 | 18 |
A question about Milton Keynes Dons vs Mansfield Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Milton Keynes Dons vs Mansfield Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Milton Keynes Dons the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Mansfield Town.
- Where and when is Milton Keynes Dons vs Mansfield Town played?
- Milton Keynes Dons vs Mansfield Town is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadium mk, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.