Peterborough vs Plymouth: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 36Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Weston Homes Stadium, Peterborough
The Footlab model makes Plymouth the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Peterborough. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Peterborough vs Plymouth?
Plymouth starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,919 vs 1,784).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Peterborough have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Plymouth have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Watford(away) | 5-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mansfield Town(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bradford(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(away) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | West Brom(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Coventry(home) | 2-4 | League Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stockport County(home) | 1-3 | League One |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Exeter City(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Tavistock(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Peterborough win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Plymouth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Peterborough 0-1 Plymouth | League One |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Plymouth 0-1 Peterborough | League One |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Peterborough 5-2 Plymouth | League One |
| Aug 13, 2022 | Plymouth 2-0 Peterborough | League One |
| Aug 10, 2022 | Plymouth 0-2 Peterborough | League Cup |
| Aug 10, 2021 | Peterborough 0-4 Plymouth | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Peterborough vs Plymouth on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Peterborough score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Plymouth score 2.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peterborough | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Plymouth | 2.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Peterborough sit 13th in League One (3 points from 2 matches) and Plymouth sit 22nd (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Peterborough | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 22 | Plymouth | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Peterborough vs Plymouth?
- The Footlab model makes Plymouth the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Peterborough.
- Where and when is Peterborough vs Plymouth played?
- Peterborough vs Plymouth is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Weston Homes Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.