Sheffield Wednesday vs Burton Albion: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 38Kick-off on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Hillsborough, Sheffield
The Footlab model makes Burton Albion the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Sheffield Wednesday. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sheffield Wednesday vs Burton Albion?
Burton Albion starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,798 vs 1,671).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sheffield Wednesday have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Burton Albion have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Wolves(home) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leyton Orient(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bolton(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oldham(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leicester(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stevenage(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Blackburn(home) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Derby(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Solihull Moors(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sheffield Wednesday win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Burton Albion win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2023 | Burton Albion 3-2 Sheffield Wednesday | League One |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Sheffield Wednesday 4-2 Burton Albion | League One |
| Sep 20, 2022 | Sheffield Wednesday 2-3 Burton Albion | EFL Trophy |
| Mar 1, 2022 | Sheffield Wednesday 5-2 Burton Albion | League One |
| Feb 5, 2022 | Burton Albion 0-2 Sheffield Wednesday | League One |
| Jan 1, 2018 | Sheffield Wednesday 0-3 Burton Albion | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Burton Albion vs Sheffield Wednesday on Apr 15, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Sheffield Wednesday score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Burton Albion score 0.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Wednesday | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Burton Albion | 0.8 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sheffield Wednesday sit 12th in League One (3 points from 2 matches) and Burton Albion sit 7th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Burton Albion | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 12 | Sheffield Wednesday | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sheffield Wednesday vs Burton Albion?
- The Footlab model makes Burton Albion the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Sheffield Wednesday.
- Where and when is Sheffield Wednesday vs Burton Albion played?
- Sheffield Wednesday vs Burton Albion is played on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Hillsborough, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.