Where and when is Mineros de Fresnillo vs FC Santiago played?

Mineros de Fresnillo vs FC Santiago is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Unidad Deportiva Minera Fresnillo, in the Liga Premier Serie A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Mineros de Fresnillo vs FC Santiago: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 3Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Unidad Deportiva Minera Fresnillo, Fresnillo

Mineros de Fresnillo

FC Santiago

The Footlab model makes FC Santiago the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Mineros de Fresnillo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mineros de Fresnillo vs FC Santiago?

FC Santiago starts as the favourite with a 151-point Elo edge (1,982 vs 1,831).

Mineros de Fresnillo win30 %

Draw25 %

FC Santiago win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mineros de Fresnillo have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; FC Santiago have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mineros de Fresnillo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 19, 2026	Cimarrones(away)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 15, 2026	Cimarrones(home)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 11, 2026	Durango(away)	1-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 28, 2026	Reboceros La Piedad(home)	6-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 21, 2026	Colima(away)	0-0	Liga Premier Serie A

FC Santiago
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 19, 2026	Zacatepec 1948(home)	2-3	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 15, 2026	Zacatepec 1948(away)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 11, 2026	Sporting Canamy(away)	6-0	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 6, 2026	Zitacuaro(away)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 31, 2026	Ciervos(home)	5-0	Liga Premier Serie A

How many goals should we expect?

Mineros de Fresnillo score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; FC Santiago score 2.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Mineros de Fresnillo	1.7	1.2	4	10/15	8/15
FC Santiago	2.0	0.7	6	8/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mineros de Fresnillo sit 7th in Liga Premier Serie A (39 points from 26 matches) and FC Santiago sit 2nd (51 points from 26 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	FC Santiago	26	14	7	5	43	21	51
7	Mineros de Fresnillo	26	11	4	11	40	41	39

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mineros de Fresnillo vs FC Santiago?: The Footlab model makes FC Santiago the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Mineros de Fresnillo.
Where and when is Mineros de Fresnillo vs FC Santiago played?: Mineros de Fresnillo vs FC Santiago is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Unidad Deportiva Minera Fresnillo, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.