Where and when is Real Refineros vs Calor de San Pedro played?

Real Refineros vs Calor de San Pedro is played on September 12, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Premier Serie A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Real Refineros vs Calor de San Pedro: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 3Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)

Real Refineros

Calor de San Pedro

The Footlab model makes Real Refineros the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Calor de San Pedro. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Refineros vs Calor de San Pedro?

Real Refineros win39 %

Draw27 %

Calor de San Pedro win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 0 matches in all competitions, Real Refineros have 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Calor de San Pedro have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Calor de San Pedro
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Deportiva Venados(away)	1-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 16, 2026	Deportiva Venados(home)	0-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 12, 2026	Lobos ULMX(home)	4-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 4, 2026	Gavilanes FC Matamoros(home)	2-0	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 29, 2026	Real Apodaca(away)	0-1	Liga Premier Serie A

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Calor de San Pedro	26	12	7	7	37	26	44

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Refineros vs Calor de San Pedro?: The Footlab model makes Real Refineros the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Calor de San Pedro.
Where and when is Real Refineros vs Calor de San Pedro played?: Real Refineros vs Calor de San Pedro is played on September 12, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.