Where and when is Acambaro vs Dragones de Oaxaca played?

Acambaro vs Dragones de Oaxaca is played on September 13, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Valentín González, in the Liga Premier Serie A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Acambaro vs Dragones de Oaxaca: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 3Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Valentín González, Ciudad de México

Acambaro

Dragones de Oaxaca

The Footlab model makes Acambaro the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Dragones de Oaxaca. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Acambaro vs Dragones de Oaxaca?

A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Acambaro (1,833) and Dragones de Oaxaca (1,826).

Acambaro win39 %

Draw28 %

Dragones de Oaxaca win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Acambaro have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Dragones de Oaxaca have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Acambaro
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Mar 30, 2026	Gorilas de Juanacatlan(away)	0-4	Liga Premier Serie B
Mar 26, 2026	Gorilas de Juanacatlan(home)	0-0	Liga Premier Serie B
Mar 15, 2026	Gorilas de Juanacatlan(home)	1-0	Liga Premier Serie B
Mar 7, 2026	Huracanes Izcalli(away)	8-3	Liga Premier Serie B
Feb 22, 2026	Dragones de Oaxaca(away)	2-1	Liga Premier Serie B

Dragones de Oaxaca
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Mar 28, 2026	Poza Rica(away)	1-2	Liga Premier Serie B
Mar 26, 2026	Poza Rica(home)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie B
Mar 14, 2026	Aguacateros CDU(away)	0-0	Liga Premier Serie B
Mar 7, 2026	Poza Rica(home)	5-1	Liga Premier Serie B
Feb 22, 2026	Acambaro(home)	1-2	Liga Premier Serie B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Acambaro win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Dragones de Oaxaca win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 22, 2026	Dragones de Oaxaca 1-2 Acambaro	Liga Premier Serie B
Oct 25, 2025	Dragones de Oaxaca 1-1 Acambaro	Liga Premier Serie B

Last archived meeting: Dragones de Oaxaca vs Acambaro on Feb 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Acambaro score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Dragones de Oaxaca score 1.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Acambaro	1.5	2.0	2	9/15	9/15
Dragones de Oaxaca	1.2	1.0	6	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Acambaro vs Dragones de Oaxaca?: The Footlab model makes Acambaro the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Dragones de Oaxaca.
Where and when is Acambaro vs Dragones de Oaxaca played?: Acambaro vs Dragones de Oaxaca is played on September 13, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Valentín González, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.