Mingəçevir vs Şahdağ: prediction and stats
Birinci DastaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on November 4, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Yaşar Məmmədzadə adına şəhər stadionu, Mingəçevir
The Footlab AI model makes Şahdağ the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Mingəçevir. The most likely score is 1-1. If Şahdağ wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,746 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mingəçevir vs Şahdağ?
On Elo ratings, Mingəçevir has 1,516 points and Şahdağ 1,594.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mingəçevir vs Şahdağ
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mingəçevir
4-3-3- 11K. Kalunga
- ÄÄ°. Æliyev
- TT. Məmədzadə
- 10Q. Alizada
- 15S. Mammadov
- 60E. Bayramov
- 16F. Bayramov
- 22E. Mustafayev
- 32R. Cafarli
- 33A. Eyubov
- 1O. Sadiqli
Şahdağ
4-3-3- NNodar Məmmədov
- TTural Qürbətov
- RR. Mansurov
- RR. Əmirquliyev
- RR. Ağalarov
- ÆÆ. QarÉ™hmÉ™dov
- RRubin Seyidov
- RR. Hacıyev
- İİlyas Səfərzadə
- EElnur Şiriyev
- RRafiq Kərimov
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 11:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mingəçevir have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Şahdağ have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Qabala(away) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Xankəndi FK(away) | 1-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Şimal(home) | 1-4 | Birinci Dasta |
| Oct 9, 2026 | MOIK(away) | 0-3 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Cəbrayıl(home) | 0-3 | Birinci Dasta |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Səbail(home) | 1-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Xankəndi FK(away) | 0-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Zaqatala(home) | 6-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Şimal(away) | 4-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Karvan(home) | 2-0 | Birinci Dasta |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mingəçevir wins, 2 draws, 2 Şahdağ wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2026 | Şahdağ 2-0 Mingəçevir | Birinci Dasta |
| Dec 24, 2025 | Mingəçevir 1-1 Şahdağ | Birinci Dasta |
| Oct 1, 2025 | Şahdağ 0-0 Mingəçevir | Birinci Dasta |
| Mar 22, 2017 | Mingəçevir 1-0 Şahdağ | Birinci Dasta |
| Oct 27, 2016 | Şahdağ 2-1 Mingəçevir | Birinci Dasta |
| Apr 14, 2016 | Mingəçevir 1-0 Şahdağ | Birinci Dasta |
How many goals should we expect?
Mingəçevir score 1.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Şahdağ score 1.5 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mingəçevir | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Şahdağ | 1.5 | 0.3 | 11 | 2/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mingəçevir sit 8th in Birinci Dasta (4 points from 6 matches) and Şahdağ sit 2nd (15 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Şahdağ | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | Mingəçevir | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 4 |
A question about Mingəçevir vs Şahdağ?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mingəçevir vs Şahdağ?
- The Footlab AI model makes Şahdağ the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Mingəçevir.
- Where and when is Mingəçevir vs Şahdağ played?
- Mingəçevir vs Şahdağ is played on November 4, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Yaşar Məmmədzadə adına şəhər stadionu, in the Birinci Dasta.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.