Minnesota United II vs Vancouver Whitecaps II: prediction and stats
MLS Next ProGroup StageKick-off on September 13, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)National Sports Center, Blaine, Minnesota
The Footlab model makes Minnesota United II the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Vancouver Whitecaps II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Minnesota United II vs Vancouver Whitecaps II?
Minnesota United II starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,629 vs 1,516).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Minnesota United II have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Vancouver Whitecaps II have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | North Texas(away) | 1-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 9, 2026 | The Town(home) | 1-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Portland Timbers II(home) | 1-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Sporting KC II(away) | 0-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 13, 2026 | Austin II(away) | 3-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Austin II(away) | 1-4 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Tacoma Defiance(away) | 2-4 | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 26, 2026 | St. Louis City II(away) | 1-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Austin II(home) | 0-4 | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Real Monarchs(away) | 1-2 | MLS Next Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Minnesota United II win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Vancouver Whitecaps II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | Vancouver Whitecaps II 2-1 Minnesota United II | MLS Next Pro |
| May 29, 2025 | Minnesota United II 2-3 Vancouver Whitecaps II | MLS Next Pro |
| Jun 14, 2024 | Vancouver Whitecaps II 4-1 Minnesota United II | MLS Next Pro |
| Jun 18, 2023 | Minnesota United II 2-0 Vancouver Whitecaps II | MLS Next Pro |
| Apr 24, 2023 | Vancouver Whitecaps II 5-2 Minnesota United II | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 3, 2022 | Minnesota United II 2-0 Vancouver Whitecaps II | MLS Next Pro |
Last archived meeting: Vancouver Whitecaps II vs Minnesota United II on Mar 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Minnesota United II score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Vancouver Whitecaps II score 1.1 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota United II | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps II | 1.1 | 2.5 | 0 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Minnesota United II sit 10th in MLS Next Pro (31 points from 23 matches) and Vancouver Whitecaps II sit 13th (19 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Minnesota United II | 23 | 10 | 0 | 13 | 31 | 36 | 31 |
| 7 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 23 | 7 | 0 | 16 | 29 | 53 | 19 |
| 9 | Minnesota United II | 22 | 10 | 0 | 12 | 30 | 35 | 30 |
| 10 | Minnesota United II | 23 | 10 | 0 | 13 | 31 | 36 | 31 |
| 13 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 23 | 7 | 0 | 16 | 29 | 53 | 19 |
| 13 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 23 | 7 | 0 | 16 | 29 | 53 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Minnesota United II vs Vancouver Whitecaps II?
- The Footlab model makes Minnesota United II the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Vancouver Whitecaps II.
- Where and when is Minnesota United II vs Vancouver Whitecaps II played?
- Minnesota United II vs Vancouver Whitecaps II is played on September 13, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at National Sports Center, in the MLS Next Pro.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 28, 2026Inter Miami II1-1Chicago Fire II
- Feb 28, 2026Philadelphia Union II1-0Toronto II
- Feb 28, 2026St. Louis City II4-0Sporting KC II
- Mar 1, 2026Chattanooga1-4Crown Legacy
- Mar 1, 2026Portland Timbers II2-1The Town
- Mar 1, 2026New York RB II4-2Columbus Crew II
- Mar 1, 2026Real Monarchs2-2North Texas
- Mar 1, 2026FC Cincinnati II1-3Connecticut FC