Miramar vs Auckland City: prediction and stats
National League - NationalChampionship Group - 4Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)David Farrington Park, Wellington
The Footlab AI model makes Auckland City the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Miramar. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Miramar vs Auckland City?
Auckland City starts as the favourite with a 274-point Elo edge (1,965 vs 1,691).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Miramar vs Auckland City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Miramar
Not enough data to predict the Miramar lineup.
Auckland City
5-4-1- 11R. De Vries
- 25M. den Heijer
- 2M. Ilich
- 8Gerard Garriga
- 10D. Manickum
- 4C. Gray
- 5N. Rostron
- 23A. Rogers
- 13N. Lobo
- 20P. Osmančík
- 24Matt Foord
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Miramar have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Auckland City have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Paysandu(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Auckland FC 2(home) | 2-1 | National League - National |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sportivo Huracan(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Napier City Rovers(away) | 1-1 | National League - National |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Uruguay Montevideo(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Eastern Suburbs(away) | 4-2 | National League - National |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Central Coast(home) | 2-0 | OFC Champions League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Rewa(home) | 3-1 | OFC Champions League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Vénus(home) | 4-3 | OFC Champions League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Tiga Sport(away) | 1-0 | OFC Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Miramar win, 0 draws, 0 Auckland City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | Miramar 3-0 Auckland City | National League - National |
Last archived meeting: Miramar vs Auckland City on Nov 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Miramar score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Auckland City score 2.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miramar | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Auckland City | 2.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Miramar sit 3rd in National League - National (4 points from 2 matches) and Auckland City sit 5th (3 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Miramar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Auckland City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
A question about Miramar vs Auckland City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Miramar vs Auckland City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Auckland City the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Miramar.
- Where and when is Miramar vs Auckland City played?
- Miramar vs Auckland City is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at David Farrington Park, in the National League - National.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.