Wellington Olympic vs Eastern Suburbs: prediction and stats
National League - NationalChampionship Group - 4Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC)Wakefield Park 1, Wellington
The Footlab AI model makes Wellington Olympic the favourite at 65%, against 18% for a draw and 17% for Eastern Suburbs. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wellington Olympic vs Eastern Suburbs?
Wellington Olympic starts as the favourite with a 191-point Elo edge (1,998 vs 1,807).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Wellington Olympic vs Eastern Suburbs
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Wellington Olympic
Not enough data to predict the Wellington Olympic lineup.
Eastern Suburbs
Not enough data to predict the Eastern Suburbs lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:36 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wellington Olympic have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Eastern Suburbs have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Auckland City(away) | 2-2 | National League - National |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ferrymead Bays(home) | 1-2 | National League - National |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Auckland FC 2(away) | 3-2 | National League - National |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Auckland City(home) | 1-1 | National League - Championship - Final |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Miramar(home) | 2-1 | National League - National |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Auckland City(home) | 2-4 | National League - National |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ferrymead Bays(away) | 0-0 | National League - National |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Birkenhead United(away) | 2-0 | National League - Northern |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Western Springs(home) | 2-2 | National League - Northern |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Auckland City(away) | 1-2 | National League - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Wellington Olympic win, 2 draws, 0 Eastern Suburbs wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2025 | Eastern Suburbs 1-1 Wellington Olympic | Chatham Cup |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Wellington Olympic 4-1 Eastern Suburbs | National League - National |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Wellington Olympic 2-2 Eastern Suburbs | National League - National |
Last archived meeting: Eastern Suburbs vs Wellington Olympic on Aug 16, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Wellington Olympic score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Eastern Suburbs score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wellington Olympic | 2.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Eastern Suburbs | 1.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wellington Olympic sit 5th in National League - National (4 points from 3 matches) and Eastern Suburbs sit 8th (1 point from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wellington Olympic | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| 8 | Eastern Suburbs | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
A question about Wellington Olympic vs Eastern Suburbs?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wellington Olympic vs Eastern Suburbs?
- The Footlab AI model makes Wellington Olympic the favourite at 65%, against 18% for a draw and 17% for Eastern Suburbs.
- Where and when is Wellington Olympic vs Eastern Suburbs played?
- Wellington Olympic vs Eastern Suburbs is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC) at Wakefield Park 1, in the National League - National.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.