Miramar vs Wellington Olympic: prediction and stats
National League - NationalChampionship Group - 6Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)David Farrington Park, Wellington
The Footlab AI model makes Wellington Olympic the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Miramar. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Miramar vs Wellington Olympic?
Wellington Olympic starts as the favourite with a 283-point Elo edge (1,991 vs 1,708).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Miramar vs Wellington Olympic
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Miramar
Not enough data to predict the Miramar lineup.
Wellington Olympic
Not enough data to predict the Wellington Olympic lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 11:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Miramar have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Wellington Olympic have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Cerrito(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Auckland City(home) | 0-2 | National League - National |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atenas(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ferrymead Bays(away) | 4-1 | National League - National |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Paysandu(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Eastern Suburbs(home) | 4-0 | National League - National |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Auckland City(away) | 2-2 | National League - National |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ferrymead Bays(home) | 1-2 | National League - National |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Auckland FC 2(away) | 3-2 | National League - National |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Auckland City(home) | 1-1 | National League - Championship - Final |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Miramar wins, 0 draws, 1 Wellington Olympic win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | Wellington Olympic 2-1 Miramar | National League - National |
Last archived meeting: Wellington Olympic vs Miramar on Dec 6, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Miramar score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Wellington Olympic score 2.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miramar | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Wellington Olympic | 2.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Miramar sit 3rd in National League - National (7 points from 4 matches) and Wellington Olympic sit 1st (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wellington Olympic | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 7 |
| 3 | Miramar | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
A question about Miramar vs Wellington Olympic?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Miramar vs Wellington Olympic?
- The Footlab AI model makes Wellington Olympic the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Miramar.
- Where and when is Miramar vs Wellington Olympic played?
- Miramar vs Wellington Olympic is played on October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at David Farrington Park, in the National League - National.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.