Mixco vs Alianza FC: prediction and stats
CONCACAF Central American CupGroup StageKick-off on August 28, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Julio Armando Cóbar, San Miguel Petapa
The Footlab model makes Mixco the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Alianza FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mixco vs Alianza FC?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Mixco (1,685) and Alianza FC (1,622).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mixco have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Alianza FC have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Guastatoya(home) | 4-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 20, 2026 | UMECIT(home) | 4-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cobán Imperial(away) | 2-3 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Deportivo Saprissa(away) | 0-3 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Marquense(home) | 1-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Tauro FC(home) | 2-0 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Aug 21, 2026 | CD Olimpia(home) | 1-3 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Plaza Amador(home) | 2-4 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Aug 14, 2026 | UMECIT(home) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sporting San Miguelito(away) | 0-0 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
How many goals should we expect?
Mixco score 1.4 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Alianza FC score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mixco | 1.4 | 1.8 | 4 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| Alianza FC | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mixco vs Alianza FC?
- The Footlab model makes Mixco the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Alianza FC.
- Where and when is Mixco vs Alianza FC played?
- Mixco vs Alianza FC is played on August 28, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC) at Estadio Julio Armando Cóbar, in the CONCACAF Central American Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.