Union Cocle vs Alianza FC: prediction and stats
Liga Panameña de FútbolApertura - 6Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Alianza FC the favourite at 37%, against 33% for a draw and 30% for Union Cocle. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Union Cocle vs Alianza FC?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Union Cocle (1,524) and Alianza FC (1,622).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Cocle have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Alianza FC have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Independiente de La Chorrera(away) | 0-3 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Deportivo Universitario(away) | 1-1 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Veraguas(home) | 0-1 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Aug 2, 2026 | San Francisco FC(home) | 2-1 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Herrera(away) | 0-1 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Tauro FC(home) | 2-0 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Aug 21, 2026 | CD Olimpia(home) | 1-3 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Plaza Amador(home) | 2-4 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Aug 14, 2026 | UMECIT(home) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sporting San Miguelito(away) | 0-0 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Union Cocle win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Alianza FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Union Cocle 0-0 Alianza FC | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
Last archived meeting: Union Cocle vs Alianza FC on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Union Cocle score 0.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Alianza FC score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Cocle | 0.8 | 1.0 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Alianza FC | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Union Cocle sit 10th in Liga Panameña de Fútbol (4 points from 5 matches) and Alianza FC sit 4th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Alianza FC | 16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 26 | 20 | 27 |
| 2 | Alianza FC | 16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 26 | 20 | 27 |
| 2 | Union Cocle | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
| 4 | Alianza FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| 5 | Union Cocle | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
| 10 | Union Cocle | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Union Cocle vs Alianza FC?
- The Footlab model makes Alianza FC the favourite at 37%, against 33% for a draw and 30% for Union Cocle.
- Where and when is Union Cocle vs Alianza FC played?
- Union Cocle vs Alianza FC is played on August 30, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Panameña de Fútbol.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.