Mladá Boleslav II vs Varnsdorf: prediction and stats
3. liga - CFL BGroup B - 8Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Lokotrans Aréna, Mladá Boleslav
The Footlab model makes Mladá Boleslav II the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Varnsdorf. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mladá Boleslav II vs Varnsdorf?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Mladá Boleslav II (1,747) and Varnsdorf (1,760).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mladá Boleslav II have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Varnsdorf have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Neratovice-Byškovice(home) | 1-2 | 3. liga - CFL B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Horní Ředice(away) | 6-0 | 3. liga - CFL B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chrudim(home) | 6-1 | 3. liga - CFL B |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Ústí nad Orlicí(away) | 3-0 | 3. liga - CFL B |
| May 30, 2026 | Teplice II(home) | 0-2 | 3. liga - CFL B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chrudim(away) | 1-3 | 3. liga - CFL B |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Brandýs nad Labem(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Benátky nad Jizerou(home) | 1-0 | 3. liga - CFL B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Štětí(away) | 6-0 | Cup |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Hradec Králové II(home) | 5-0 | 3. liga - CFL B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Mladá Boleslav II win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Varnsdorf win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Varnsdorf 2-0 Mladá Boleslav II | 3. liga - CFL B |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Mladá Boleslav II 1-1 Varnsdorf | 3. liga - CFL B |
| Feb 15, 2023 | Mladá Boleslav II 1-2 Varnsdorf | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Varnsdorf vs Mladá Boleslav II on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mladá Boleslav II score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Varnsdorf score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mladá Boleslav II | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Varnsdorf | 2.3 | 1.1 | 8 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mladá Boleslav II sit 9th in 3. liga - CFL B (38 points from 32 matches) and Varnsdorf sit 11th (37 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mladá Boleslav II | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 39 | 50 | 38 |
| 11 | Varnsdorf | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 65 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mladá Boleslav II vs Varnsdorf?
- The Footlab model makes Mladá Boleslav II the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Varnsdorf.
- Where and when is Mladá Boleslav II vs Varnsdorf played?
- Mladá Boleslav II vs Varnsdorf is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Lokotrans Aréna, in the 3. liga - CFL B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.