Varnsdorf vs Slovan Liberec II: prediction and stats
3. liga - CFL BGroup B - 9Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion v Kotlině, Varnsdorf
The Footlab model makes Varnsdorf the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Slovan Liberec II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Varnsdorf vs Slovan Liberec II?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Varnsdorf (1,760) and Slovan Liberec II (1,720).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Varnsdorf have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Slovan Liberec II have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chrudim(away) | 1-3 | 3. liga - CFL B |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Brandýs nad Labem(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Benátky nad Jizerou(home) | 1-0 | 3. liga - CFL B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Štětí(away) | 6-0 | Cup |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Hradec Králové II(home) | 5-0 | 3. liga - CFL B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Velké Hamry(away) | 2-1 | 3. liga - CFL B |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Sokol Zápy(away) | 0-5 | 3. liga - CFL B |
| May 31, 2026 | Pardubice II(home) | 5-2 | 3. liga - CFL B |
| May 23, 2026 | Ústí nad Orlicí(away) | 0-1 | 3. liga - CFL B |
| May 17, 2026 | Teplice II(home) | 4-1 | 3. liga - CFL B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Varnsdorf win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Slovan Liberec II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Varnsdorf 1-2 Slovan Liberec II | 3. liga - CFL B |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Slovan Liberec II 5-0 Varnsdorf | 3. liga - CFL B |
| Feb 5, 2025 | Varnsdorf 4-1 Slovan Liberec II | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 10, 2024 | Varnsdorf 3-1 Slovan Liberec II | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 31, 2024 | Varnsdorf 6-1 Slovan Liberec II | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 27, 2023 | Varnsdorf 1-2 Slovan Liberec II | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Varnsdorf vs Slovan Liberec II on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Varnsdorf score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Slovan Liberec II score 2.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Varnsdorf | 2.3 | 1.1 | 8 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Slovan Liberec II | 2.7 | 1.9 | 0 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Varnsdorf sit 11th in 3. liga - CFL B (37 points from 32 matches) and Slovan Liberec II sit 10th (37 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Slovan Liberec II | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 72 | 64 | 37 |
| 11 | Varnsdorf | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 65 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Varnsdorf vs Slovan Liberec II?
- The Footlab model makes Varnsdorf the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Slovan Liberec II.
- Where and when is Varnsdorf vs Slovan Liberec II played?
- Varnsdorf vs Slovan Liberec II is played on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion v Kotlině, in the 3. liga - CFL B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.