Moca vs Jarabacoa: prediction and stats
Liga MayorRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Moca the favourite at 63%, against 24% for a draw and 13% for Jarabacoa. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Moca vs Jarabacoa?
Moca starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (1,572 vs 1,410).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Moca vs Jarabacoa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Moca
Not enough data to predict the Moca lineup.
Jarabacoa
Not enough data to predict the Jarabacoa lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:35 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Moca have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Jarabacoa have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Universidad O&M(home) | 1-2 | Liga Mayor |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Salcedo(away) | 0-1 | Liga Mayor |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Vega Real(away) | 0-1 | Liga Mayor |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Delfines Del Este(home) | 1-1 | Liga Mayor |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Atlántico(away) | 3-2 | Liga Mayor |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Delfines Del Este(home) | 1-1 | Liga Mayor |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Atlántico(away) | 2-2 | Liga Mayor |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cibao(away) | 0-3 | Liga Mayor |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Vega Real(away) | 1-3 | Liga Mayor |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Salcedo(home) | 0-2 | Liga Mayor |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Moca wins, 1 draw, 1 Jarabacoa win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Jarabacoa 0-1 Moca | Liga Mayor |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Jarabacoa 1-1 Moca | Liga Mayor |
| Aug 12, 2025 | Moca 0-1 Jarabacoa | Liga Mayor |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Jarabacoa 0-1 Moca | Copa LDF |
| Jul 8, 2023 | Jarabacoa 0-4 Moca | Liga Mayor |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Moca 2-0 Jarabacoa | Liga Mayor |
How many goals should we expect?
Moca score 0.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Jarabacoa score 0.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moca | 0.8 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Jarabacoa | 0.5 | 1.8 | 2 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Moca sit 6th in Liga Mayor (11 points from 10 matches) and Jarabacoa sit 7th (2 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Moca | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 11 |
| 7 | Jarabacoa | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 2 |
A question about Moca vs Jarabacoa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Moca vs Jarabacoa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Moca the favourite at 63%, against 24% for a draw and 13% for Jarabacoa.
- Where and when is Moca vs Jarabacoa played?
- Moca vs Jarabacoa is played on October 18, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Mayor.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.