Modica vs Licata: prediction and stats
Coppa Italia Serie DRound of 32Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Modica the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Licata. The most likely score is 1-1. If Modica wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,958 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Modica vs Licata?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Modica (1,741) and Licata (1,702).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Modica vs Licata
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Modica
Not enough data to predict the Modica lineup.
Licata
Not enough data to predict the Licata lineup.
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 03:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Modica have 3 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Licata have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Digiesse PraiaTortora(away) | 1-5 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Calcio Avola(away) | 4-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Enna(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Siracusa(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | CastrumFavara(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Siracusa(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 11, 2026 | AC Palermo(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Trapani 1905(away) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sambiase(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Enna(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
How many goals should we expect?
Modica score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 8; Licata score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Modica | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 2/8 | 4/8 |
| Licata | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
A question about Modica vs Licata?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Modica vs Licata?
- The Footlab AI model makes Modica the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Licata.
- Where and when is Modica vs Licata played?
- Modica vs Licata is played on October 28, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Coppa Italia Serie D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.